Limited Publishing Schedule

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 Please note that State Economic Watch will be on a limited publishing schedule during the summer months.

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Census: North Carolina Highest Domestic In-Migration State 2025

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New figures released by the US Census Bureau put North Carolina at the top of the list for domestic net migration from July 2024 to July 2025. The state saw just over 84,000 domestic residents moving in during that period, followed by Texas with 67,299, and South Carolina with 66,622. Perennial heavyweight Florida was all the way down at number eight on the list with 22,517 move-ins. On the flip side, it’s no surprise that California and New York topped the list of domestic out-migration states with 299,077 and 137,586 resident departures, respectively. Illinois, New Jersey and Massachusetts made up the balance of the top five, but with significantly smaller domestic out-migration numbers.  International net migration fell substantially in the US, declining from 2.7 million in the year ended July 1, 2024 to 1.3 million in the year ending July 1, 2025, a 54% decline. Nevertheless, all of the states saw some international net migration in 2025, with Florida and Texas topping the lis...
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Univ Tennessee: State to See Slow Economic Growth in 2026

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The Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research, part of the Haslam College of Business at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville, is out with its 2026 Economic Report to the Governor . Produced annually for the last 50 years, the report is a comprehensive look at both the state and national economy. In the latest edition, the Boyd Center economists project continued slow growth for Tennessee’s economy in 2026, with real GDP growth of 2.0% expected after an estimated 1.7% gain in 2025. State nonfarm payrolls are forecast to grow by only 0.9% in 2026, only slightly better than the meager 0.7% growth estimated for 2025. The report points to an aging population, increased retirements, and federal immigration policies as factors that could constrain payroll growth going forward. The Boyd Center’s long term forecast calls for state real GDP growth of 2.5% to 2.6% and real NFP growth of 1.1% to 1.3% from 2027-2030, with growth rates for both measures moderating somewhat in the post-2030...
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Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes Solidly in the Green

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The Philadelphia Fed released its August 2025 State Coincident Indexes today. The August statistics indicate continued economic growth across the majority of the states, with 44 of the 50 states posting index value increases over the prior three months. While five states posted declines, Maryland saw the largest drop with a three-month decrease of 0.6% in its index. This is possibly  the result of an increase in Maryland’s unemployment rate to 3.6% in August from 3.3% in June, and a modest decrease in manufacturing payrolls of 1,500 over the same period.
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